No. The 62-point outburst served as a reminder of how dominant the Horned Frogs can be on offense. Pick: Oklahoma State wins 27-20 and COVERS the spread. Matt Campbell's Cyclones were supposed to be a Top 10 team last season, but better late than never. Week 4 of the 2022 college football season features several high-profile and interesting matchups to bet against the spread, including Florida-Tennessee, Baylor-Iowa State, Kansas State-Oklahoma and Clemson-Wake Forest. See what else Sallee likes at SportsLine. The content on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. Pick: NC State wins 48-10 and FAILS TO COVER the spread. The Beavers routed the Trojans 45-27 last season, but there is a value in that half-point dip in the line. The Bears are off to a 3-0 start under second-year coach Dave Aranda with the help of a three-headed rushing attack that averages 328.5 yards per game and an improved defense. 16 Penn State (-5). Bill Bender is a national college football writer for The Sporting News. Mississippi enters this weekend's matchup with Tulsa 3-0 straight up and 2-1 against the spread, coming off an impressive 42-0 shutout of Georgia Tech as 17-point favorites last week. Ohio State is averaging 8.44 yards per play and a nation-best 565.3 total yards per game, while Wisconsin has allowed 24 total points and has not yet allowed an opponent to gain more than 253 total yards. The Wolverines haven't been tested yet, and Maryland does average 40.3 points per game. Prediction: Appalachian State 31, James Madison 23. Pick: Michigan wins 42-20 and COVERS the spread. The Sun Devils defense was helpless against both Oklahoma State and Eastern Michigan, and Utah's offense is probably better than both of those. Florida put up 29 points in its Week 1 win over then-No. CMU's defense allowed over 500 yards and a combined 96 points in its losses to Oklahoma State (understandable) and South Alabama (less understandable). We'll need to see more from the Nittany Lions (especially their defense) before we start taking them seriously as a threat to topple Michigan (Oct. 15) or Ohio State (Oct. 29). Over the past three-plus years, he is 113-93 in his popular best bets column at SportsLine, including going 8-4 so far this season. Pick: Penn State wins 48-21 and COVERS the spread. Head coach Chris Klieman will have his team better prepared for the Big 12s best, having won two of three meetings against the Sooners, with the loss last year by six points. The latest in the sports world, emailed daily. Each week they are joined by KSR caller Jay In Lyndon for picks against th 6-keys: media/spln/collegefootball/reg/free/stories, By pressing sign up, I confirm that I have read and agree to the. The past three Baylor-Iowa State games were decided by one possession, twice with a critical scoring play in the final 30 seconds of the fourth quarter. And, you know, I think the Commodores are OK with that, because the Crimson Tide won 34-0 in 2011 and 59-0 in 2017. 23 Texas A&M Aggies (2-1) vs. No. Plenty of top 25 teams are in action with closely lined spreads, we made sure to give you the ins and outs to finding a profitable weekend. SportsLine's model is projecting a big day for Williams, who is throwing for more than 320 yards and three touchdowns in the latest simulations. Oklahoma's offense looks about as good as it did under Lincoln Riley and under Bob Stoops before him, averaging north of 500 total yards per game with 17 touchdowns against just one turnover. After dismantling Arkansas-Pine Bluff by a final score of 63-7, Oklahoma State gets the week off to prepare for a massive Week 5 showdown with No. The Spartans continue to roll with Kenneth Walker III and a punishing rushing attack, and Nebraska is coming off another emotional loss against Oklahoma. It's the Spartans secondary that leaves an awful lot to be desired, and Minnesota has not been anything close to prolific through the air dating back to the start of 2020. This will be a solid test of the legitimacy of that Ole Miss defense, though, as Tulsa is out of nowhere leading the nation with 413.0 passing yards per game. 3 TCU, Saturday 4 p.m. ESPN. Can Duke do anything to slow this team down in a showdown between undefeated schools that are usually only relevant in men's college basketball? Get a $50 Bonus Bet + up to $1K Back in Bonus Bets! 23 Texas A&M Aggies (2-1) [7 p.m.]. The Wildcats got caught looking ahead and lost outright as a two-touchdown favorite against Tulane. MORE: Is chaos coming at the top of the rankings? Washington State, which is 5-1 against the spread in its past six home games, could cause chaos for an Oregon offense led by inconsistent QB Bo Nix. Before locking in any Week 4 college football picks on those games or others, be sure to see the latest college football predictions from SportsLine's advanced computer model. Enjoy the free college football picks against the spread as well! 3) Favorites went 15-0 straight up and 14-1 against the . Should be similar to 2019, when Wisconsin held opponents not named Ohio State to 13.75 points per game but gave up 38 in the regular season and 34 in the B1G championship against the Buckeyes. No. Sallee has also found two other college football picks he's high on, including an underdog he says will win outright. Yes, things are looking grim. For his next trick, Taulia Tagovailoa will perform his famous disappearing act. It's on the Red Raiders to keep up with the Bijan Robinson-led offense. Get his top college football picks now. Pick: USC wins 38-30 and COVERS the spread. 12 North Carolina State Wolfpack (3-0) vs. Connecticut Huskies (1-3) [7:30 p.m.]. Bill Bender is a national college football writer for The Sporting News. New starter Max Johnson can lead Texas A&M to back-to-back victories against ranked teams, but Arkansas quarterback KJ Jefferson was the star of this matchup last season. 3 Ohio State. Here is a look at our track record against the spread this season. NEXT: College Football Pick Against the Spread No. Kiffin has . The Tigers still have a nasty defense, and D.J. The two best receiving games of Deuce Vaughn's college career have both come against Oklahoma, but the Sooners will keep him reasonably contained in this one en route to a relatively convincing victory. Could be another game in which a Longhorns pick-six opens the flood gates. What could go wrong? Pick: Kentucky wins 35-10 and FAILS TO COVER the spread. Wake Forests Sam Hartman threw for 312 yards in the meeting last year and should have even more success against a secondary that ranks among the nations bottom half despite its soft early schedule. Heartland College Sports is the best source to get the latest news about Big 12 and NCAA college football and basketball sports. 8 min read. Each week during the 2022/2023 college football season, every game will be evaluated with a computer algorithm generated prediction using a large array of the latest team statistics. Biggest plays from Alabama's wild win over Florida. The home team has won the last four meetings, and three of those games have been decided by seven points or less. Our best betting angles for Friday night college football Mike McCarthy shreds ex-Cowboys coordinator after firing, Hoops star twins mock NCAA after 1st name-in-likeness punishment: 'Be f--king for real', Patrick Mahomes' wife posts cozy couple's pic during Joe Rogan drama, Surging Knicks destroy Nets in statement victory, Patrick Kane well worth struggle to bring him to Broadway, PGA Tour becoming like LIV Golf after latest schedule changes, Kanye West and 'wife' Bianca Censori look surprisingly happy on dinner date, Canadian teacher with size-Z prosthetic breasts placed on paid leave. The total was 77.5. 20 Florida Gators in the 3:30 p.m. 20 Florida Gators (2-1) at No. See full Week 4 college football picks, odds, predictions here, Central Michigan at Penn State (-28, 63.5), Northern Illinois at Kentucky (-26.5, 53). Don't let the 41-20 final score fool you. 13 Utah Utes (2-1) at Arizona State Sun Devils (1-2) [10:30 p.m.]. But now can the Dukes prove they belong by taking down another program that recently wasted little time in asserting its dominance after making the FCS-to-FBS transition? He has completed 88.2 percent of his minimal pass attempts, and he should make a spirited push toward the top three of the Heisman conversation in this game against a secondary that has allowed 661 passing yards and six touchdowns over the past two games against Charlotte and SMU. The Sooners have re-asserted themselves as the team to beat in the Big 12, but Kansas State has played them tough under Chris Klieman. Uiagalelei and No. Pitt QB Kedon Slovis (undisclosed upper body injury) did not play in last week's 34-13 win at Western Michigan, though he was cleared to do so. QB Taulia Tagovailoa has gotten out to a solid start to the year, as has the RB tandem of Roman Hemby and Antwain Littleton, each averaging at least 9.0 yards per carry. The up-and-down Gators revolve around Anthony Richardson, and they cannot turn the ball over against Tennessee which is 3-0 ATS this season. Pick: Washington wins 34-24 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. Utah -15 (-110) vs. Arizona State +15 (-110), O/U 52. The Gators Wire crew converged to give their predictions for the Gators. Minnesota at No. That puts us at 25-27-1 against the spread, 30-19-4 on point totals and 55-46-5 overall with our bets on top 25 teams for the 2021 season. But they're better than that, and they should bounce back in a big way against a Wyoming offense that has managed just four touchdowns through three games against FBS opponents (Illinois, Tulsa and Air Force). Both teams are 3-0 S/U and 3-0 ATS to start the season. However, Texas Tech didn't exactly look good in its 27-14 loss to NC State and has been careless with the ball to the tune of seven interceptions through its first three games. No. The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other FBS matchup in Week 4, and it says a Top 25 favorite will go down hard in one of the week's biggest games. Who knows what to make of Florida? Because with a ginormous game at Clemson coming up next weekend, the Wolfpack are going to want to pull Devin Leary and Co. as soon as possible. as pre-draft murmurs have begun coming out of the college football season.With Kentucky's Will . Independent Big 12 Blog for updated info. The Commodores and Crimson Tide don't play often, but Alabama has won the last two meetings in 2011 and 2017 by a combined score of 93-0. The 2022 college football season is back and that means it's time for more fantastic matchups, thrilling finishes and betting. No one should expect to make money from the picks and predictions discussed on this website. Top college football predictions for Week 4. Play: Ole Miss -20.5. 20 Florida in a 3:30 p.m. It's tempting to take the Chippewas, who have scored 36.3 points per game through three weeks. No. Premium Picks were off the charts for the 2020 and 2021 regular seasons (ranking in the top 2% for the handicapper industry at a fraction of the cost)! Smith leading that charge. 22 Texas (-7) goes on the road and covers against Texas Tech in a 3:30 p.m. 22 Texas (-7) goes on the road and covers against Texas Tech in a 3:30 p.m. The Fighting Irish should be playing with far less pressure away from home, following their first win of the season. Prediction: North Carolina 34, Notre Dame 27, Minnesota Golden Gophers (3-0) at Michigan State Spartans (2-1) [3:30 p.m.]. The Cougars just beat three straight Pac-12 opponents and they keep that focus rolling with another blowout. Time for the Cougar faithful to drink a few hundred gallons of Fireball and cheer their boys to what might be the biggest upset of Week 4. All count against the team's salary cap. Pick: Iowa State wins 28-27 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. The Aggies were upset by Appalachian State two weeks ago, but they bounced back with a 17-9 win over then-No. Raheim Sanders will top 115 yards rushing for the fourth straight game, while the shaky Aggies offense will unravel against a front averaging the fourth-most sacks in the nation. Not all the games are up right now, but they will be available in the next day or two. Many other factors are taken into account for the final prediction such as power rankings, returning starters, home field, coaching, strength of schedule, and against the spread average. From No. Pick: Tennessee wins 35-28 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. ET SEC on CBS kickoff at Neyland Stadium. No. USC has not looked like a team that is playing under a first-year head coach so far this season. But Slovis or no Slovis, it's unlikely Pitt will be sweating this one out quite like Arkansas was against its FCS foe (Missouri State) in Week 3. They will again . Pick: Alabama wins 49-7 and COVERS the spread. Given the state of Georgia's incredible defense, yet another 48-0 shutout is a very real possibility. All Rights Reserved. 6-keys: media/spln/collegefootball/reg/free/stories, at The Buckeyes' defense continues to give up too many big plays, however, and it only takes one or two to get a cover. 1) It's a marathon, not a sprint. Ole Miss entered this season having allowed at least 14 points in 25 consecutive games, but it has allowed just 13 total points during this 3-0 start. 3 Ohio State Buckeyes (3-0) vs. Wisconsin Badgers (2-1) [7:30 p.m.]. ET SEC on . 7 USC (-5.5) goes on the road and covers against Oregon State in a 9:30 p.m. The average Notre Dame game this season has featured just 39.7 total points. *Note: The Rhode Island vs. No. Week 4 of the 2022 college football season features several high-profile and interesting matchups to bet against the spread, including Florida-Tennessee, Baylor-Iowa State, Kansas State-Oklahoma . Finally, intangibles such as Covid-19, injuries, suspensions, weather, and trends will be used in the days leading into the game to provide an accurate prediction for each game versus the Vegas spread. Head coach Pat Narduzzi opted to play it safe with the quarterback he knows he's going to need when the Panthers begin ACC play in Week 5, and it wouldn't be a surprise if Slovis also sits this one out. No. Here are our Week 4 predictions agains the spread: This line has dropped a half-point. The Huskies are 2-2 ATS. He will be greeted by 100,000-plus Tennessee fans at Neyland Stadium on Saturday afternoon, creating a tricky environment for a struggling quarterback who has yet to throw a touchdown. Pick: North Carolina wins 38-22 and COVERS the spread. The Longhorns have dominated this in-state rivalry over the years, winning four straight and 11 of their last 13 against the Red Raiders. Prediction: Kentucky 35, Northern Illinois 13, No. Make sure to check out our college football page for more content like college football week 4 picks against the spread! What, you didn't dig the way Nevada had to hang on for dear life in Week 0 against a New Mexico State team that just got obliterated by Minnesota? section: | slug: college-football-odds-picks-predictions-best-bets-for-week-4-2022-computer-simulation-backs-usc-texas | sport: collegefootball | route: article_single.us | Virginia comes into this game with a 12-3 record overall and they have gone 5-10 against the spread.The Mountaineers (10-6, 0-4 Big 12) are looking to . Can Texas A&M take advantage of that secondary, though? No. Alabama has covered two 40-point spreads this season, and they do it again here. Clemson has won the last eight meetings in the series. The Ducks are 0-2 ATS as a favorite this season. Oklahoma already has 13 sacks and is leading the nation with 32 total tackles for loss. This should live up to expectations. That said, this is the kind of statement game the Irish need. The Matchup generator exposes potential mismatches showing strong offensive units versus weak defensive units or vice versa. 4 Michigan (-26.5) at Rutgers (7:30 p.m., BTN) Rutgers has kept the last two games close against the Wolverines; losing by an average of 6. . SN's Bill Bender is still trying to dig out of the hole in our weekly picks against the spread. Pick: Coastal Carolina wins 52-20 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of more than $3,300 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Washington wins a home game against a terrible Michigan State secondary and it catapults into the rankings at No. If the spread (Iowa State -2.5 at last check) and/or recent history is any indication, this should be a nail-biter. USC takes the show on the road again with an offense that averages 50.7 points per game. But with both Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Julian Fleming back in action last week for Ohio State, joining an already unstoppable receiving corps led by Marvin Harrison Jr. and Emeka Egbuka, got to go with the unstoppable force in this one. Sallee is a true insider -- a CBS Sports analyst, SiriusXM host, Heisman voter and consistently one of the top CBS Sports experts picking games against the spread -- and his best bets have helped bring in huge returns. ), so I cant be completely washed up. Pick: Michigan State wins 30-20 and COVERS the spread. After opening this past Saturday's game with back-to-back three-and-outs and falling into a 14-0 deficit, the Jayhawks went wild with six touchdowns and two field goals in their next nine possessions for a 48-30 victory against a pretty solid Houston team. This week's games feel easier to predict, though famous last words in college football. Except I've got Ohio State scoring even more than that this time around. The Top 25 games are listed in ascending order of ranking. Notice the Offensive Run and Pass points to get an idea of potential [], College Football Bowl Season will feature Alabama Vs Cincinnati, Georgia Vs Michigan, Baylor Vs Ole Miss, and Utah Vs Ohio State. Miami moved the ball well in its 17-9 Week 3 loss to Texas A&M; it just couldn't get the ball across the goal line against an excellent SEC defense. Sep 23, 2022. I look forward to Nick Saban discussing rat poison. That never gets old. Oregon State is also unbeaten coming into this game, but it has been much less impressive through its first three outings. 10 Arkansas sure did . 7 Utah, but it has not been nearly as good since then. Michigan is 6-0 against Maryland under Jim Harbaugh, and those games have been decided by an average of 33.7 points per game. And that's bad news for a Kansas State offense that has not been able to do much of anything through the air with former Nebraska quarterback Adrian Martinez behind center. Miami bounces back from the Texas A&M loss with a crisp performance at home. 10:00 AM PDT. Vanderbilt should get into the scoring column this time around, as the offense has been (at least by Vandy standards) quite respectable thus far, averaging 6.7 yards per play and 42.0 points per game. But they won't get caught napping in Boone, where they have gone 32-3 in their last 35 home games. They have failed to cover against Tulane and Nebraska; games in which the spread was more than 20 points. The Rebels rank fifth in the nation with a withering rushing attack that averages 271.7 yards per game. And which college football picks need to be part of your parlays? 12 Notre Dame and No. This Vanderbilt defense allowed 495 total yards to Elon in Week 1 and 45 points against Wake Forest the week after that. New players only, 21+. BENDER: Alabama's close call, FSU's disastrous start and more takeaways from Week 3. But for an impressive road win over a ranked Wisconsin team and a subsequent 31-point win over Colorado State, undefeated Washington State is still just fifth among others receiving votes? The Trojans have forced 11 turnovers (while committing zero), but Stanford moved the ball pretty much at will against them, racking up 33 first downs. Prediction: Miami 38, Middle Tennessee 10, No. The Cowboys have won three straight since a Week 0 loss at Illinois, and BYU might need a half to get rolling at home. 11 Tennessee Volunteers (3-0) vs. No. The Bruins stayed in the pollafter a shootout loss to Fresno State, and Stanford has scored 40-plus points in back-to-back victories after a Week 1 loss to Kansas State. (Certainly better than EMU's.). No. If you want further details on this week's card, check out our college football home page with every game preview as well as The Early Reed from Tuesday, our college football betting show that is LIVE every Tuesday at 1 PM EST. Indiana might be the least convincing 3-0 team in the country. Partnered with the USA TODAY Sports Media Group|Powered by, Signed to the practice squad by Buffalo (BUF), NFL picks against the spread: Vic Tafurs Week 12 predictions. All six games were decided by at least 21 points. Bowl projections - Texas vs. Miami for all the Cheez-Its? Clemson has gone unbeaten through its first eight games this season and is coming off its bye week. New users only, 21 or older. I know I'm supposed to . Especially since I'm picking four underdogs to win straight up. Professional bettors Gill Alexander, Preston Johnson and Bob Stoll all reveal their choices against-the-spread this week and the reasoning behind their choices in order to help you decide. Northern Illinois will be a challenge, but veteran quarterback Rocky Lombardi is questionable after suffering a leg injury against Vanderbilt. Pick: Clemson wins 38-30 and COVERS the spread. Notre Dame got off to a slow start, but it has picked up wins against UNLV and Syracuse in its last two games. Texas got all it could handle last Saturday at home against UTSA, leading by just four points late in the third quarter before Jahdae Barron ran back a back-breaking pick-six to jump-start the 21-point victory. The Beavers put up 34 and 35 against Boise State and Fresno State, respectively, and it'd be surprising if they don't at least reach 27 in this game. The Cougars have been one of the better early-season stories of the season around transfer quarterback Cameron Ward. One of the college picks the model is high on in Week 4: No. Pick: Ohio State wins 52-7 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. Clemson has been stop-and-start on offense, but the defense has allowed just 14.0 points per game through three games. Pick: Ole Miss wins 38-17 and COVERS the spread. Pick: Kansas State wins 35-28 and COVERS the spread. Last week: 6-5 straight up, 4-7 . USC's offense is quite potent, but that D has been boom or bust. College Football Picks Against the Spread for Week 4 (How to Bet Every Top 25 Team on Saturday) By Reed Wallach. 4: Texas State at Nevada 4. Lane Kiffin will lean on that at home against a Tulsa team that is better than advertised. In five winless matchups against ranked opponents, Johnny Drama has eight touchdowns and 12 interceptions, while the Terrapins have lost by an average of 32.4 points, including a 41-point home defeat to Michigan last season. College Football HQ makes picks against the spread for the top games in Week 11, including big matchups in the SEC and in the Big 12. If you don't, then this should be a strong Badger win. Most of the Buckeyes toughest games of the past three seasons have come at the Horseshoe, including a Week 1 win over Notre Dame. No. In what was supposed to be an opportunity to legitimately enter the College Football Playoff conversation, the Cougars could not get a stop to save their lives, falling behind 38-7 by midway through the third quarter and ultimately losing 41-20. 12 Notre Dame and No. Prediction: Michigan State 31, Minnesota 28, Indiana Hoosiers (3-0) at Cincinnati Bearcats (2-1) [3:30 p.m.]. Explore this storyboard about Football (U.S.) by Athlon Sports on Flipboard. This game has "Nobody believes in us" written all over it for Washington State. No. Athlon Sports is previewing the very best games of the week. Can we make that a word after the past two weeks in which he has gone 24-of-53 (45.3 percent) for 255 yards, no touchdowns and four picks to go along with 13 carries for 28 yards and no scores? 5 USC (-2.5) vs. No. Thanks for contacting us. 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