Harbour Master's Directions & Port Information Guide, Notices to Mariners & Operational Instructions. Simon's brother David also served as Treasurer of Tasmania in the 1990s. Paterson works in mental health and runs programs and interventions to make workplaces more psychologically safe and mentally healthy. (My prediction is around 33.5% LIB, 33.3% ALP, 33.2% GRN). New developments cannot be at the expense of our existing neighborhoods. The LIB/ALP 2PP here will be Labors best since before Caulfield was in the seat and the Lib PV may be the lowest in 5-6 decades. From his post 24 hours ago: All of this amounts to bad news for Labor in its quest for 76 seats, with Brisbane now out of the picture and the odds most likely leaning against them in Macnamara, which I for one thought they had in the bag earlier in the week, and which my results system is continuing to call as Labor retain due to its inability to think in three-party terms.. A successful businesswoman, Bernadene has been a resident for 20 years in the electorate of Macnamara. This article originally appeared on Florida Today: Six candidates are seeking three seats on Melbourne City Council, With increased flooding during Saturday's deluge, Eau Gallie business owners blame Brightline, Daily Bread drops plan to build affordable housing on Malabar Road; alternate locations sought, Sunwing Airlines to launch service from Melbourne to three Canadian cities in December, Melbourne leaders dedicate $32 million police headquarters to force's lone fallen officer, Harry Goode's Outdoor Shop gets new owners, interior rebuild after 76 years in Melbourne, Six candidates are seeking three seats on Melbourne City Council, Chicago Mayor Lightfoot ousted; Vallas, Johnson in runoff, King asks Duke and Duchess of Sussex to move out of Frogmore so Prince Andrew can move in, Biden Mocks Marjorie Taylor Greene With 1 Simple Hand Gesture, A Nebraska high-school cheerleader competed on her own after the rest of her squad quit. The only way that I cant see Labor winning here is if all the cards fall the right way for the Greens and that doesnt often happen. The Greens would have got 32% in May but only got 20% of November. Will the current flows (which put the Greens on track to pass Labor) continue? Please enable scripts and reload this page. Sure, the 2CP run-off will be revealed upon the throw of all preferences. This month, council members are voting on Melbourne's proposed$242 million total city budget for 2022-23, among other topics. I thought this was Labours until I read ABCs Anthony Greens column in which he said he was going to call it for Labour, until the Labour candidate for Macnamara phoned him and said the Greens could still win it. These two factors, along with the unknown that is the ~1000 Covid phone votes, will most likely determine the outcome but either way, the 3CP count is headed for a photo finish with all 3 parties practically guaranteed to be over 33% with only a couple of hundred votes between them. ', Greek transport minister resigns over train crash; 36 dead, SoCal storm timeline: More snow, heavier rain expected Wednesday, Peoria police investigating shooting that left 1 dead at Circle K, One-On-One With WJZ: Baltimore Mayor Brandon Scott defends backing BGE Conduit deal, There's no shortage of salt for NYC roads. Long post I know, but in short the Liberals are already ahead of Labor on 3CP terms, and if vote continue to break exactly as they have been, they grow their lead while the Greens continue to catch up. Education: Bachelor's degree in business administration in management and another bachelor's degree in business administration accounting and finance. Third Issue:Supporting our first responders. In other words, current vote trends are extending the Liberals 50 vote lead, and closing the Greens 495 vote deficit to push Labor into third. Continue with the septic-to-sewer program helping residents who voluntarily want to discontinue septic and connect to sewer at a reduced cost. To put it simply, the AEC 3CP preference throw, which is now complete for all ballots counted so far, currently has Labor 50 votes behind the Liberals and 495 ahead of the Greens in the 3PP race. William Bowe explains in his latest blog (from after yesterdays counting finished) that his results system is incorrectly calling it due to its inability to think in three-party terms. The video of the event is the third of the three videos below. The top issues in West Melbourne are the water quality, flooding and safety services. What a fascinating race this has turned into. For the latest information, searchABC Emergency, For the latestweather warnings in the Northern Territory, search onABC Emergency. The moderator was Bernadene Voss, a two-term Councillor and three-time Mayor in the City of Port Phillip. A successful businesswoman, Bernadene has been a resident for 20 years in the electorate of Macnamara. However, the problem they might face in that redistribution scenario is that removing the Liberals best area (Caulfield) would almost certainly drop the Libs to third place and make it an ALP v Greens count where theyd probably have a 5% margin to make up rather than a ~200 vote margin to get into a LIB v GRN count. @ Bingo i was not trying to make a political point but when i said Greens underperformed in Albert Park. Occupation: Full-time West Melbourne City Council member; previous mortgage underwriter for Chase Bank for nineyears; previous title agent for more than 20 years; previous finance manager for several auto dealerships. Four incumbents Mayor Paul Alfrey,District 1 Council Member Tim Thomas,District 3 Council Member Yvonne Minus andDistrict 5 Council Member Mimi Hanley are not on the ballot this fall. The electorate includes the suburbs of Port Melbourne, South Melbourne, Middle Park, South Yarra, St Kilda, Balaclava, Elwood and parts of Elsternwick and Caulfield. Under its former name, Melbourne Ports, this electorate had been held by the Labor Party since 1906. Steph Hodgins-May did so much better than I expected. Poll Bludger has not called it for Labor, they have actually said the odds are most likely leaning against them now. Three candidates will be running for two available seats on the Melbourne Beach Town Commission in the Nov. 8 election. Therefore the Greens are rapidly catching up but are not doing so at the expense of the Liberals. Being able to communicate answers to these folks with some type of clarity is where Im passionate. https://www.tallyroom.com.au/vic2022/albertpark2022/comment-page-1#comment-776581. This is a list of electoral results for the Division of Melbourne Ports in Australian federal elections from the division's creation in 1901 until its abolition in 2019. Campaign Email: diana@dianaforcouncil.com, Campaign Facebook page: Facebook.com/DianaForWestMelbourne. Melbourne: 14 Sep 2022: 162(T)-22: Port Melbourne / Webb Dock Berth 3 East extension project restricted zone chainage extended: 02 May 2022: 408(T)-21: Port Melbourne / Webb Dock . Visiting Station Pierpage. ), Time listed is at Fawkner Beacon- Time between the Heads and Fawkner Beacon - 3 hours- Time between Fawkner Beacon and berth - 1 hour, Time listed is at Point Richards- Time between the Heads and Point Richards - 3 hours- Time between Point Richards and berth - 2 hours, 2016 Victorian Ports Corporation (Melbourne). Since 1989 he's run his own business, which in 2016 gained a Multicultural Impact Award. Thats extraordinary, quite possibly the closest 3 way 3CP count ever, and I think a full 3CP recount if its that close is a very likely possibility. What are the top two to three issues in West Melbourne, and what specific actions will you take to address them if elected? Antony Green just called the seat for Labor. Newspoll-You Gov actually picked up a bounce for the Greens over the last six days before E-Day, and that helps explain why late arriving postals in Macnamara appear to be breaking more to Green than Labour. These kinds of investments drive responsible growth, reduce traffic and support efficient response times for law enforcement and emergency services. History Melbourne Ports was an original Federation electorate. I disagree with you Nimalan, its worth noting Labor still had a 7% swing against them and the Greens got a 4% increase in primary votes in one of the most gentrified areas of the Macnamara electorate (Port Melbourne). In 3CP terms after minor preferences, thats 32.2% LIB, 30.5% ALP, 37.3% GRN if postals continue flowing like the last batch too (and every single batch has been moving in that same direction). (Click on polling place for results)Labor recorded two-party preferred majorities in 27 of the 30 polling places used in 2019, its vote passing 70% in eight. When comparing Greens and Labor. . Cruise ship schedule 2022-23. Results ranged from 56.9% at Library at the Dock in Docklands to 87.4% at the Sacred Heart School in Fitzroy. Heres a summary of the current state of play. Shifts east losing Kensington to Maribyrnong in the west while gaining Clifton Hill from Cooper in the east, and a part of Brunswick East from Wills. The Victorian redistribution in general will be fascinating. So let's figure it out. Holding was replaced by Michael Danby in 1998, and Danby held the seat for the next two decades, retiring in 2019. The four candidates are incumbents Diana Adams, John Dittmore and Andrea Young, along U.S. Navy veteranWilliam Johnson, who sits on the citys Board of Adjustments. If we consider that there was no minor right wing parties such as LDP and FFV running in 2018 state election there was actually a small increase in the right-wing vote. Political/government/civic experience: West Melbourne City Council (appointed June 2022); secretary of Space Coast Field of Dreams board; West Melbourne Citizens Leadership Academy; former deputy chair of West Melbourne Parks & Recreation board; former Brevard educator; Transportation & Intergovernmental Relations Policy Committee member; member of the Melbourne, Palm Bay, Titusville and Cocoa Beach chambers of commerce; and LEAD Brevard board member. But I agree with comments on this blog that both Bowes and Green have not called it for Labour, which does not mean that they believe Greens have it, just that it is too close to call. Cleaner, Artist, Operations Clerk and more on Indeed.com Port Melbourne Candidate Jobs in Melbourne VIC (with Salaries) 2022 | Indeed.com Australia I will work diligently with the council and various boards to direct and focus attention to these significant concerns. If anything, I would be extremely worried if I was Josh Burns. ALP got 31.8% of the primary vote but 62.3% of the 2PP. In early 2022, the Victorian Government asked the Department to convene the Container . Bandt was easily re-elected in 2016 and 2019 when Labor's vote slipped to third place behind the Liberal candidate. Labor's state and federal executives did not adopt Danby's position. Melbourne Ports has become more middle class in recent years with accelerating inner-city gentrification and higher density housing developments. [ edit] Primary vote results in Melbourne (Parties that did not get 5% of the vote are omitted) Liberal Labor Australian Democrats Greens Reason Two-candidate-preferred results in Melbourne References [ edit] So the Liberals have no catching up to do to stay in the top two, because theyre already first by 50 votes. Hickey is a qualified primary school teacher, social worker, and family therapist. Victorian Ports Corporation (Melbourne) Level 5, 530 Collins Street, Melbourne 3000. Regional Victorian ports - follow this link. Results 1983-2019. Results 1983-2019. 1966 was the last time the Liberal PV was below 30% in Melbourne Ports / Macnamara. The only things saving Josh Burns here today are the cratering Liberal vote and, most importantly of all, the perfect little gerrymander with Higgins. 0:03. Harbour Master's Directions & Port Information Guide, Notices to Mariners & Operational Instructions. GRN 30,291. The former Labor members are Jim Matthews 1906-1931, E.J.Holloway 1931-1951, Frank Crean 1951-1977, Clyde Holding 1977-1998 and Michael Danby 1998-2019. Melbourne Ports was held by the Australian Labor Party from 1906 until 2019, when it was renamed. It included Port Melbourne, but also included a number of middle and upper middle class suburbs such as Albert Park, Balaclava, Caulfield, Elwood, Middle Park, Ripponlea, South Melbourne and St Kilda. Within our city, I would work to educate residents within the Melbourne utility system about sewer lines in lieu of harmful additives and broken septic systems. Numerous annual continuing-education classes on ethics and city planning classes. The event was moderated by Stephen Mayne. This service may include material from Agence France-Presse (AFP), APTN, Reuters, AAP, CNN and the BBC World Service which is copyright and cannot be reproduced. CruiseOps.Melbourne@iss-shipping.com. The current 3CP order after about 87,000 votes is 1 Libs, 2 Labor, 3 Greens. I project the following based on whats left to count: LIB 33.5% ALP Just over 33.3% GRN Just under 33.2%. Melbourne Ports covers the port of Melbourne, St Kilda and Caulfield. The city, for now, contracts out its fire services to the county. Also disagree with you Dan M. It is completely misleading to analyse the Labor Albert Park Margin and Caulfield Margin considering that Balaclava, St Kilda and other areas are in the Caulfield electorate (fairly progressive electorates). The Melbourne City Council includes a mayor, a vice mayor and five council members. For more information, see Hodgins-May is an environmental and social justice advocate, small business owner and St Kilda local. Crossing Hotham Street is where you notice an immediate difference. Melbourne:2022 elections: Meet the six candidates running for three Melbourne City Council seats; It is Brevard County's fourth-most-populous city, behind Palm Bay, Melbourne and Titusville. Labor's vote fell further in 2016, finishing third behind the Liberal candidate, and stayed in third place at the 2019 election after Labor disendorsed its candidate mid-campaign. Rick Neale is the South Brevard Watchdog Reporter at FLORIDA TODAY (for more of his stories, click here.) Filling vacancy: Diana Adams appointed to West Melbourne City Council, replacing Daniel Batcheldor, Police chief vacancy: West Melbourne names eight finalists to replace retired police chief Richard Wiley, City manager change: West Melbourne may hire Tim Rhode as city manager; Daniel Batcheldor to leave City Council. The Greens are only 495 votes behind Labor in the 3CP count. As shown by the plot of first preference vote, the Greens have replaced Labor as the major left party in the electorate of Melbourne. ALP 29,152 3. On the Macnamara count, Kevin Bonhams blog of its post-election count says his model projects PVs of: Labor 30.3 Greens 30.2 Liberal 29.7. Votante, re: Labor possibly having a record difference between their primary vote and 2PP vote, I think that ties into another likely record that this race will set, and thats the smallest margin between all 3 parties in a 3CP count. Authorised by the Electoral Commissioner, Canberra, Register of political parties and decisions, Torres Strait Regional Authority elections, A4 map of the Division of Melbourne Ports (2010) [PDF 785KB], Map of the Division of Melbourne Ports (2010) [PDF 13.4MB], 2016 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, 2013 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, 2010 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, 2007 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, 2004 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, Party codes, demographic ratings and seat status. McCathie was born and bred in Melbourne and has a background in I.T. My prediction here is that the Greens will probably fall *just* short of knocking Labor out of second place, because just too much has to go right for them with such a small margin of error for it to happen. Macnamara is the new name adopted for the seat known since Federation as Melbourne Ports. As in 2019 the Green candidate will be Steph Hodgins-May, the new Liberal candidate Christopher Ride. The Greens could very easily gain this seat if Albanese turns out to be a disappointment and if the looming redistribution removes Caulfield and adds South Yarra and Prahran. This is a mathematical certainty that labour will be in top two primary count. Immediately below is the video of the event. Stephen Mayne will be the moderator. This change slightly reduced the Labor margin from 6.2% to 6.1%. I've heard lots of folks' concerns to everything ranging from stormwater runoff in the lagoon to age-friendly inclusion in the newly developed downtown areas. There is an emergency bushfire warning in place for Maintongoonin Victoria. Diana Adams appointed to West Melbourne City Council, replacing Daniel Batcheldor, West Melbourne names eight finalists to replace retired police chief Richard Wiley, West Melbourne may hire Tim Rhode as city manager; Daniel Batcheldor to leave City Council, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. Labor candidate Josh Burns won Macnamara in 2019. The Liberals are still 3rd on the primary vote, so unless they can improve on absentees,postals,provisionals then they will remain 3rd. Also the issue for Josh Burns is that most of the population growth is occurring in the west of the seat such as Southbank/Fishermens Bend. The incumbent, Debbie Thomas, is wrapping up her second consecutive term, and cannot run for reelection because of termlimits. This made Adam Bandt the first Green to win a seat in the House of Representatives at a general election. [2] The new name was gazetted on 13 July 2018, and was first used at the 2019 federal election. 2. Weds, 16th November with Georgie Dragwidge (Indep), Elizabeth Antunovic (Freedom Party) and Cassandra Westwood (Animal Justice Party). That is what is putting the greens in contention in both seats. Hodgins-May was the Green candidate for Ballarat at the 2013 federal election and came close to victory contesting Melbourne Ports at the 2016 election but did not poll as strongly in 2019. Macnamara was a medical researcher and doctor who discovered there was more than one type of the polio virus and worked extensively with children suffering from poliomyelitis, training doctors and physiotherapists in the management of the disease. After originally being won by the Protectionist party, it has been held by the ALP consistently since 1906, although it has rarely been held by large margins. What are the top two to three issues in Melbourne, and what specific actions will you take to address them if elected? Tel: +61 3 8347 8300 Consequently, sample ballots in different jurisdictions in the same state may not be . Support for the Greens rose through the first decade of the twenty first century, polling 15.7% in 2001, 19.0% in 2004, 22.8% and finishing second after preferences in 2007, and 36.2% and achieving victory on Liberal preferences in 2010. In Macnamara, the Liberal vote is consistently around 40%, and a Green victory hinges on the Greens passing Labor on first preferences, and then strong flows of Labor preferences putting the Green candidate ahead of the Liberal in the final count. ABC has given Labor Macnamara and hence get a majority of 76 seats. They are incumbents Joyce Barton and Corey Runte, as well as . The electorate covers 40 square kilometres. Subscribe today. My last 3CP calculation had the Greens 422 preferences ahead of Labour at the final 3CP count in Macnamara. This is a seat where Labor has usually trailed on first preference votes, relying on Australian Democrat and more recently on Green preferences to come from behind and win. The only seat that is in-doubt in my mind is Gilmore which is likely to go Liberal. Boyd Community Hub, 207 City Rd Southbank. Education: University of Akron/Chancellor University, Political/government/civic experience: 30 years of public service, including four years with the City Council in West Melbourne. Tree lined, nature strips, large houses, large schools, etc. A list of profiles for Candidates A-Z in the Federal Election 2022 This may be due to Melbourne having a sitting Green MP in Adam Bandt, or be related to Labor pulling out of campaigning after disendorsing its candidate. Australia 2010 Australia 2013 Australia 2016 Australia 2019 Australia 2022 By-election Candidate numbers City of Brisbane Covid-19 Data . Four candidates are vying for three seats on the West Melbourne City Council in the Nov. 8 election, with a number of issues involving infrastructure on the table. Since Labor already needs the support of the Greens to pass anything through the Senate, it doesnt make a huge difference in practical terms whether they also need Greens (or Independent) support in the House or have a majority in their own right. Bandt worked as an industrial and public interest lawyer for the decade before his election to Parliament in 2010. What they care about is what matters to me. On those boundaries, for decades it was one of the safest Labor seats in the country, and Labor usually easily retained it even during severe nationwide defeats for Labor. 2018 Mayoral Election: A Meet the Candidates was held at Boyd Community Hub on Thursday, 26th April, 2018. The last batch of postal votes broke 26.7% LIB, 28.5% ALP, 33.2% GRN, 11.6% Other. In the past 13 years, extensive betterments for residents experiencing flooding have been successful. and moved to the safer seat of Melbourne Ports in 1931. . I am not saying the results will be repeated in 2025 for Josh Burns a Dutton led Liberal party will underperform the state Libs which moved back to the centre on climate. Dr Richard Peppard is a senior neurologist at St Vincent's Hospital and works in private practice in East Melbourne and in regional Victoria. Assume no leap in turnout leaves 8 792 votes remaining to be counted, less 6.44% informal rate (566 votes) = 8 226 votes;- are not sufficient from which Green & Liberals can find 8 295 primary votes. Should move up to Glen Eira Road regardless of whether that border will be with Macnamara as it currently is, or Higgins. Currently [83.41% point] ALP lead Liberals by 4 420 and Greens by 3 873. Incredibly close, basically meaning minor preference flows could eliminate any one of the 3, especially since 4 of the minors are right wing and Labor are likely to get the least minor preferences. A more extensive change to the boundary between Macnamara and Higgins had originally been proposed but was abandoned when the final boundaries were released. 1. Pht sng trc tip trn u Green Gully Cavaliers U21 vs Port Melbourne Sharks SC U21 AUS VPL U21 trong khun kh gii VQG Jordan full HD tc cao vi bnh lun min ph ti Trc Tip Bng . Wills ( ALP 8.5% v GRN) is the seat for former Labor Prime Minister Bob Hawke and runs north-west between Merri Creek and Moonee Ponds Creek from inner-city Brunswick to the Western Ring Road. Unlock unlimited digital access to floridatoday.com Click here and subscribe today. First Issue: Restoring the Indian River Lagoon. Liberal 30.69% 4. At Michael Danby's last election in 2016, the Liberals polled 41.9% on first preferences to Labor 27.0% and the Greens 23.8%. As you say FL, the main thing working against Steph HM here is actually just the complete obliteration of the Liberals most likely making this a Labor v Greens count. The other three members of the City Council Mayor Hal Rose, and Councilors Pat Bentley, Daniel McDow and Stephen Phrampus have terms that run until 2024. Labors primary votes in all three of these electorates went backwards which should set Red flags in Labor HQ. I only have the Greens beating Labor by about 50 votes which would be an automatic recount.. Trent had already calculated the breakdown of the primary vote for Albert Park based on the May federal results. East of Hotham, the Glen Eira part of St Kilda East is totally different and more similar to Caulfield North. Candidate Johnson said he planned on focusing on the citys continued upward trending growth. The video of the event is the South Brevard Watchdog Reporter at FLORIDA TODAY ( more... 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